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「MEA_ecommerce_research_findings.md」原文 · 209 條來源引用

來源 209Last updated 2026-09-03Methodology: figures are as reported by the cited sources; nothing is invented. Data vintage and scope are flagged per metric; conflicting sources are shown side by side.

中東與非洲電商:研究發現

為雙語報告《全球電商格局》編制。所有資料均按引用來源報告的原樣呈現;每項資料均標註了年份/時間。存在衝突時會同時列出並標註。海灣國家與埃及的國別資料已彙總於中東電商市場圖譜;非洲相關內容則保留在本文及區域深度解析中。


1. 中東——整體情況

將海灣地區(UAE、沙烏地阿拉伯、埃及)的電商作為市場地圖——涵蓋平臺、履約體系、國家層面GMV——進行呈現,是中東電商市場圖譜的核心內容。本節保留引用筆記及其原有的標註內容。

⚠️ 衝突提示: 一份來源(einpresswire)稱"中東電商市場規模到2033年將超過10,957億美元,複合年增長率21.58%",但該數字比其他所有估算高出一個數量級(很可能是數量級錯誤或統計口徑不同)。建議將其視為不可靠資料:https://www.einpresswire.com/article_print/868807357/middle-east-e-commerce-market-size-to-surpass-usd-10-957-billion-by-2033-with-a-21-58-cagr


2. UAE

⚠️ 衝突提示: 早期預測曾預計到2025年將達到170億美元(Zawya/EqualOcean/Logistics Middle East,2024年):https://www.zawya.com/en/press-release/research-and-studies/uae-online-shopping-boom-to-hit-17bln-by-2025-ltrjpsmkhttps://www.equalocean.com/news/2024031320619-uae-e-commerce-market-reach-17-billion-2025https://www.logisticsmiddleeast.com/e-commerce/uaes-e-commerce-explosion-on-track-for-17-billion-by-2025 ——而EZDubai報告的2024年實際數值為88億美元。兩者統計口徑/方法學不同(B2C商品口徑 vs. 更廣義的零售電商口徑);170億美元這一數字並未如預測那樣實現。


3. 沙烏地阿拉伯


4. 其他中東市場

埃及(MENA背景)

土耳其(大型電商市場)

⚠️ 衝突提示: 一方報道稱增速為+52%(2025年,土耳其官方資料),而另一方媒體則報道為+62%(3萬億里拉)https://www.azernews.az/region/248249.html ——兩者的統計時段/口徑不同。以貨幣計價的數字(2024年2萬億土耳其里拉、2025年3萬億土耳其里拉、1,154億美元、860億歐元)同樣因統計範圍(含服務/旅行的總額 vs. 僅商品)與匯率差異而存在出入。

卡達

科威特

⚠️ 衝突提示: Times Kuwait標題中的"16.1億美元"實為貨幣單位標註有誤(應為第納爾);Zawya/SAMENA的資料(約52億美元)相互印證、口徑一致。Arab Times的1.88億第納爾屬於不同的口徑(僅刷卡消費),並非整體市場規模。


5. 非洲——整體情況

⚠️ 衝突提示: 非洲市場規模資料因統計口徑不同而存在較大差異:404.9億美元(2025年)、750億美元(2030年)、1,130億美元(5年內)、以及奈及利亞一國到2029/2030年就將超過160–200億美元(US$16–20bn+)——統計方法(僅B2C商品口徑 vs. 含旅行/服務的總額口徑)在很大程度上解釋了這一差異。2025年404.9億美元這一數字是中國跨境行業媒體中被引用最多的"市場規模"資料。


6. 主要非洲市場

奈及利亞(按人口計非洲最大市場,常被稱為最大電商市場)

南非

肯亞


7. 平臺


8. 區域背景——MEA的份額&增長前景(與其他區域對比)


核心要點(供雙語報告使用)

  1. 中東是高增速、高價值的區域:B2C電商有望在2029年前突破2,020億美元;MEA整體規模到2031年將達到3,380億美元(複合年增長率13.85%);MENA GMV年增速約30%,UAE&沙烏地阿拉伯領跑。
  2. GCC核心市場: UAE(2024年88億美元,EZDubai資料)與沙烏地阿拉伯(2024年187.8億美元,預計2029年達到288億美元)是支撐區域的兩大支柱;受益於2030願景、約99%的網際網路普及率以及BNPL(Tabby/Tamara),沙烏地阿拉伯是中東規模最大的單一國家市場。
  3. 非洲規模雖小但增速迅猛(2025年404.9億美元→約5年內翻倍),以移動優先為特徵,2024年移動支付賬戶數超10億/交易額達1萬億美元(GSMA資料)支撐了整個支付體系;奈及利亞、南非、肯亞、埃及是核心市場。
  4. 平臺: 海灣地區呈Amazon+Noon雙寡頭格局;Jumia引領泛非洲市場(FY25營收約1.9億美元,+13%);SHEIN/Temu是兩個次區域中擴張最快的跨境挑戰者;本土冠軍企業(Takealot、Kilimall、Konga)則守住各自的細分市場。
  5. 相較於全球領先地區,滲透率低於5%是MEA決定性的機遇所在:低滲透率+全球最高的增速之一+穩健的人口結構。

資料來源(完整URL列表)

中東整體/MEA總體 - https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/01/12/3217066/28124/en/Middle-East-B2C-Ecommerce-Market-Opportunities-to-2029-Revenues-to-Exceed-202-Billion.html - https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/03/18/3257960/28124/en/Middle-East-and-Africa-E-commerce-Market-to-Surpass-USD-338-Billion-by-2031-Growing-at-13-85-CAGR-During-2026-2031.html - https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240408989943/en/Middle-East-B2C-E-Commerce-Market-2024-Projections-Indicate-that-the-Digital-Economy-in-the-Middle-East-is-Expected-to-Exceed-EUR-500-billion-by-2030---ResearchAndMarkets.com - https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/04/10/3059558/28124/en/MENA-E-commerce-Market-Report-2025-with-Projected-Compound-Annual-Growth-Rates-through-2029.html - https://www.jinfengkou.com/show-51141.html - https://adgully.me/post/9604/mena-e-commerce-sees-30-growth-uae-saudi-lead-in-gmv - https://www.einpresswire.com/article_print/868807357/middle-east-e-commerce-market-size-to-surpass-usd-10-957-billion-by-2033-with-a-21-58-cagr

GCC - https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/gcc-e-commerce-market-46162 - https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/gcc-b2c-e-commerce-market-59217 - https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6248447/gcc-quick-commerce-market-share-analysis - https://redseer.com/articles/ksa-is-the-online-fashion-bpc-leader-in-gcc/ - https://redseer.com/articles/gccs-online-retail-market-is-truly-democratic/

UAE - https://www.intellinews.com/uae-e-commerce-market-reached-8-8bn-in-2024-382150/ - https://www.zawya.com/en/press-release/research-and-studies/ezdubai-uae-e-commerce-market-continues-to-grow-reaches-aed-323bln-in-2024-i6wurc98 - https://economymiddleeast.com/news/uaes-e-commerce-market-to-exceed-13-8-billion-by-2029-report/ - https://economymiddleeast.com/news/uae-ecommerce-market-digital-trade-growth-2026/ - https://www.zawya.com/en/press-release/research-and-studies/uae-online-shopping-boom-to-hit-17bln-by-2025-ltrjpsmk - https://www.equalocean.com/news/2024031320619-uae-e-commerce-market-reach-17-billion-2025 - https://www.logisticsmiddleeast.com/e-commerce/uaes-e-commerce-explosion-on-track-for-17-billion-by-2025 - https://www.intellinews.com/uae-tops-global-ranking-for-mobile-shopping-as-67-of-consumers-buy-via-smartphones-389108/ - http://www.arabianbusiness.com/industries/retail/uae-leads-world-in-mobile-shopping-in-2025-with-67-per-cent-using-phones-to-shop - https://meatechwatch.com/2025/07/18/uae-among-only-three-countries-worldwide-with-100-adult-mobile-phone-ownership-leading-mobile-driven-online-shopping/ - https://finbets.websol.barchart.com/?module=topNews&storyID=32316226&selected=news&symbol= - https://virtuzone.com/blog/ecommerce-industry-uae/ - https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/united-arab-emirates-ecommerce - https://www.dhl.com/discover/en-hk/e-commerce-advice/e-commerce-best-practice/cracking-online-shopping-in-abu-dhabi-guide-for-hong-kong-sellers

沙烏地阿拉伯 - https://www.globenewswire.com/fr/news-release/2026/02/03/3230809/28124/en/saudi-arabia-b2c-ecommerce-business-report-2025-a-28-8-billion-market-by-2029-from-18-78-billion-in-2024-explore-size-forecast-by-value-and-volume-across-80-kpis.html - https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/22/3223626/28124/en/Saudi-Arabia-Ecommerce-Market-Trends-and-Expansion-Potential-2026-2031-Vision-2030-Boosts-Saudi-Ecommerce-with-99-Internet-Penetration-78-5G-Coverage.html - https://campaignme.com/from-souq-to-screen-how-saudi-vision-2030-is-reshaping-digital-commerce/ - https://www.albawaba.net/business/saudi-arabia-leads-e-commerce-sales-1579427 - http://investor.wedbush.com/wedbush/article/bizwire-2025-11-26-saudi-arabia-buy-now-pay-later-business-report-2025-2030-148-billion-market-driven-by-tamara-tabby-postpay-spotti-toyou-and-rising-financial-institution-participation-researchandmarketscom - https://www.orchestrapay.com/coverage/middle-east/saudi-arabia - https://knowledge.antom.com/the-saudi-opportunity-soaring-per-capita-online-spending-and-explosive-holiday-sales - https://www.globenewswire.com:443/news-release/2025/04/21/3064772/28124/en/saudi-arabia-ecommerce-market-report-and-company-analysis-2025-2033-featuring-amazon-ebay-emaar-properties-namshi-noon-alibaba-jarir-marketing-and-carrefour.html

埃及 - https://thearabweekly.com/egypts-e-commerce-leads-countrys-digital-transformation-activity-expands - https://www.globenewswire.com/fr/news-release/2026/01/29/3228289/28124/en/Egypt-B2C-Ecommerce-Databook-Report-2025-A-14-53-Billion-Market-by-2029-Amazon-and-Noon-Anchor-Marketplaces-While-B-TECH-Carrefour-Egypt-and-Jumia-Leverage-Omnichannel-Control.html

土耳其 - https://www.dny1.com/Main/ArticleDetails?id=976779151719534592 - https://www.amz123.com/t/UAmSzl9Z - https://www.yiofong.com/news/2605188040 - https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/amp/turkiyes-e-commerce-volume-surges-52-percent-in-2025-222063 - https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/e-commerce-volume-exceeds-2-trillion-turkish-liras-212092 - https://ecommercenews.eu/turkish-online-spending-reached-86-billion-euros/ - https://www.azernews.az/region/248249.html

卡達&科威特 - https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/29/3228277/0/en/Qatar-B2C-Ecommerce-Databook-Report-2025-A-10-87-Billion-Market-by-2029-Growth-Opportunities-Driven-by-Expanding-Segments-Like-Retail-Shopping-Travel-and-Online-Food-Services.html - https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/5601182/qatar-e-commerce-market-share-analysis - https://www.zawya.com/en/business/retail-and-consumer/kuwaits-e-commerce-set-to-reach-522bln-in-2024-ywa9we0h - https://www.samenacouncil.org/samena_daily_news?news=103116 - https://timeskuwait.com/kuwaits-e-commerce-growth-surpasses-1-61-billion-in-2024/ - https://www.psmarketresearch.com/market-analysis/kuwait-e-commerce-market - https://www.arabtimesonline.com/news/kuwait-reports-71-growth-in-online-spending-totaling-kd-188-million-in-2024/

非洲整體 - https://amzdh.com/others/8748.html - https://www.amz123.com/t/HPj7whMI - https://www.yilantop.com/news/54561 - https://cm.mofcom.gov.cn/sqfb/art/2024/art_db6333cc46f24483b746d99474d78bb2.html - https://www.elyonpay.com/en/blog/e-commerce-africain-75-milliards-2030.html - https://powersofafrica.com/article/803/africa-e-commerce-to-double-in-volume-by-2028 - https://www.africa-press.net/gambia/all-news/e-commerce-in-africa-2025-market-analysis-and-trends - https://www.fastcompany.com/91377777/how-to-unlock-e-commerce-in-africa - https://www.businesstechafrica.co.za/business/2025/08/22/mastering-e-commerce-in-2025-trends-and-tools-for-online-retail-success/ - https://avodagroup.org/whatsapp-tiktok-commerce-africa/ - https://www.imarcgroup.com/africa-e-commerce-market

移動支付 - https://allafrica.com/stories/202504160452.html - https://www.forbesafrica.com/current-affairs/2025/04/09/sub-saharan-africa-dominates-global-mobile-money-landscape-with-1-1-billion-accounts-new-report-finds - https://capitalethiopia.com/2025/04/21/africa-leads-global-mobile-payments-contributing-190-billion-to-gdp/

奈及利亞 - https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/01/29/3228308/28124/en/Nigeria-B2C-Ecommerce-Report-2025-A-20-Billion-Market-by-2029-Size-Forecast-by-Value-and-Volume-Across-80-KPIs.html - https://www.baijing.cn/article/id-54847 - https://allafrica.com/stories/202509220456.html - https://www.statista.com/study/78324/e-commerce-in-nigeria/

南非 - https://www.businessday.co.za/bd/economy/2025-09-11-sas-online-retail-sales-to-exceed-r130bn-in-2025-says-study/ - https://www.mastercard.com/news/eemea/en/newsroom/press-releases/en/2025-1/september/south-africa-s-online-retail-set-to-surpass-r130-billion-in-2025 - https://africa.businessinsider.com/local/markets/south-africas-online-retail-to-pass-dollar7-billion-in-2025/lggjzmt - https://techcabal.com/2025/09/11/south-africas-online-retail-boom-exceeds-7bn/ - https://www.ecofinagency.com/news/1209-48628-south-africa-e-commerce-hits-10-of-retail-spend-reshaping-market-report

肯亞 - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kenya-ecommerce-market-databook-2024-074100422.html - https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240904882019/en/Kenya-Ecommerce-Business-Report-2024-Gross-Merchandise-Value-to-Reach-%243.8-Billion-by-2028-from-%242.3-Billion-in-2023---ResearchAndMarkets.com - https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/01/29/3228279/28124/en/Kenya-B2C-Ecommerce-Databook-Report-2025-A-3-83-Billion-Market-by-2029-Size-Forecast-by-Value-and-Volume-Across-80-KPIs.html - https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/5648313/kenya-ecommerce-market-opportunities-databook - https://savannahsoftwaresolutions.co.ke/m-pesa-powered-shopping-vs-global-platforms-kenyas-2025-e-commerce-showdown/ - https://businesstoday.co.ke/kenyas-booming-e-commerce-what-is-driving-it/ - https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/bd/corporate/companies/jumia-s-kenya-sales-hit-sh15-8bn-on-holiday-shopping-5360542

平臺(Jumia/Noon/Amazon/SHEIN/Temu/本土玩家) - https://www.ecomcrew.com/jumias-fiscal-year-25-revenue-was-us190-million-a-year-on-year-increase-of-13/ - https://nairametrics.com/2026/02/10/jumia-group-revenue-rises-to-188-9m-in-2025-cuts-loss/ - https://trendtype.com/news/jumia-exits-algeria-and-reports-fy25-revenues-are-up-13-year-on-year/ - https://ca.investing.com/news/company-news/jumia-q4-2025-slides-revenue-up-34-stock-drops-despite-progress-93CH-4450022 - https://www.globaleyez.net/en/what-is-noon - https://thirdwatch.dev/blog/track-noon-vs-amazon-uae-pricing - https://www.haibeigoods.com/article/NBNrJlPxgsE - https://sellingz.com/resources/amazon-uae-2025-marketplace/ - http://ontaskksa.com/newsinfo/10717738.html - http://ontaskksa.com/newsinfo/10755649.html - https://www.valuespectrum.com/corporate_news/1086279-middle-east-b2c-e-commerce-market-report-2024-featuring-carrefour-flipkart-floward-iherb-lulu-shopping-mtlnovel-namshi-noon-shopping-open-sooq-shein-splashfashions-temu-trendyol-and-zara - https://www.logisticsmiddleeast.com/news/dhl-and-temu-expand-partnership-to-boost-e-commerce-growth - https://www.logisticsmiddleeast.com/news/temu-expands-sea-shipping-and-pudo-services-in-uae-with-emx - https://www.parcelandpostaltechnologyinternational.com/news/e-commerce/temu-and-emx-partner-on-e-commerce-fulfillment-in-uae.html - https://www.spb.gov.cn/gjyzj/c200007/202502/f9533170cb0c4ecc9fdc2a0df2608121.shtml - https://www.36kr.com/p/3390773948615041

區域背景/對比 - https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/hyshuju/821cdf3262c35facf9712acdc1bdc95c.html - https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/hyshuju/a586f9ca0cce75eb8586ca4e91cd7a94.html - https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/hyshuju/79fd6761857c49faeeb4e7a74d1047b6.html - https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/hyshuju/bf851e08bb72b6d04c87533c348e5976.html - https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/labelsyh/kuajingdianshangxinxingshichangjiyu/1/6803089.html - https://www.giiresearch.com/report/moi1911438-middle-east-africa-e-commerce-market-share.html

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